The Strategist

UN expects world population to peak at 10.3bn by mid-2080s



07/16/2024 - 07:41



The UN projects that the global population will continue to rise over the following 60 years, reaching 10.3 billion by the middle of the 1980s. After that, the amount will begin to progressively drop, hitting 10.2 billion by the year 2100.



Marc Sardon
Marc Sardon
The UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA) provided its most recent forecast on global population. The UN releases this report every two years. 

According to DESA specialists, the present 8.2 billion people on Earth will continue to rise over the next 50–60 years, reaching a peak of 10.3 billion in the mid–2080s. Following that, the rate of population growth will slow, and by 2100, there will be just 10.2 billion people in the world.

As a result, UN experts have altered their earlier estimates, which put the likelihood of peaking in the 21st century at just 30%. Furthermore, the population in 2100 is predicted to be 700 million less than in previous estimates, or 6% fewer than in previous estimates. 

The report's authors clarify that data on the reduction in fertility in several of the major countries in the world, particularly China, was analyzed to inform the modifications made to the forecast.

Experts from the UN emphasize separately that immigration will contribute to population increase in 52 countries through 2054 and in 62 countries through 2100. According to experts, the United States, Canada, and Australia are among the nations where immigration from other countries will contribute to population growth.

source: un.org